Economy & Energy
Year XV-No 83
October/December
2011
ISSN 1518-2932

 

No 83 Em Português

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e&e No 83

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Possible Growth:
How to resume growing 7% annually

Conceptual Project and Analysis of the Economic Viability of the Wind Energy Electric Unit at Lagoa dos Patos – RS

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 Economy and Energy Organization - e&e  OSCIP 

Nº 84: January /March 2010  

IISSN 1518-2932

Possible Growth:

How to resume growing 7% annually

Carlos Feu Alvim - feu@ecen.com

José Fantine - josefantine@gmail.com

Two economic scenarios for Brazil in the next eight years are presented and in order to reach the desirable growth it is necessary more investments as well as increase capital productivity.

Note: The text was revised taking into account data from the National Accounts until 2009 and the quarterly ones until the third quarter of 2011.

Conceptual Project and Analysis of the Economic Viability of the Wind Energy Electric Unit at Lagoa dos Patos – RS

Ernesto Augusto Garbe,

Renato de Mello e Ivan Tomaselli

The economic viability of building a wind energy power plant at Lagoa dos Patos, Rio Grande do Sul, is analyzed. This electric energy source will permit the state to have a flexible energy matrix and become self-sufficient.

Editorial:

Brazil has come through the first crisis wave (2009) with relative ease. Losses in that year were compensated by the “big” GDP of 2010.

In the present issue we analyze the economic conjuncture for the next seven years and we have reached the conclusion that it is possible to resume an annual 7% growth in spite of the second wave, now concentrated in Europe.

A new “big” GDP is possible for 2012 based on investments already made which would make possible to drive a sustainable development in the next years. It will be necessary to increase moderately the investment rate and assure a better use of the existing productive capacity in the country.

It will also be necessary to maintain the favorable conditions in terms of trade in the external commerce. Our present development is much more linked to the emerging countries than to the developed ones.

External circumstances and a daring self-reliant attitude permitted the Brazilian State to get rid of the high internal interest rates weight.

The end of the year permits us to manifest this optimism which basis are presented in the present article. We hope that 2012 and the subsequent years will justify this expectation.

Brasília, 12/31/2011

 

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Revised/Revisado:
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