Energy and Emission Matrix
policy demands a forecasting work in order to establish priorities. This
demand is due to the importance of this production factor in the
contemporaneous society what makes it necessary to evaluate the future
importance of investments in the area. In the present article a revision
is made of the basic concepts necessary for exercising technological
prospecting with emphasis on the energy area. A diffusion model of
technological knowledge is presented next and the application of some
relevant topics are shown. Other topics to which it seems interesting to
apply the methodology are suggested.
The present article expands the analysis made in previous articles. If the figures are right and the ensuing analysis as well, one can say that a developed country is the one that imports energy, steel, aluminum and ferroalloy (products that are capital- and energy-intensive and less job-intensive) and exports products with larger aggregated value (technology- and manpower-intensive). A methodology for analyzing the jobs generated by accumulated capital by economic sector is suggested. The sectors of energy-intensive use generate few jobs by accumulated capital.
Presentation regarding the Energy Matrix Subject (only in Portuguese):
Sectorial Module of the e&e Energy and Emission Matrix
Sectorial Module, in the projection of the Energy and Emissions Matrix
carried out by e&e
permits, using a GDP scenario, to
build the participation in the GDP value of the main economic sectors. The
historical evolution in Brazil and in other countries is used to evaluate
the future participation. Basic values to be used in the reference
scenario for projection are supplied. Based on extrapolation of Equivalent
Energy/Product coefficients, the energy demand is projected next. The
participation of energy sources is projected based on historical values
and on comparisons with other countries. The values are converted to Final
Energy and the emission of gases causing the greenhouse effect is
calculated using coefficients supplied by the Ministry of Science and
Technology (MCT). Projections are for the period 2000/2020.
Complete e&e No 30
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Friday, 13 May 2011.
Main Page Technological Prospecting On the road to Sustainable Development Energy and Emission Matrix Residential Sector Transport Sector