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Economy & Energy
No 30: February-March 2002  
 ISSN 1518-2932

seta.gif (5908 bytes)No 30 Em

Support: MCT





other e&e issues

e&e No 30

Main Page

Technological Prospecting

On the Way to Sustainable Development

Energy and Emission Matrix 

Residential Sector

Transport Sector


Technological Forecasting

Technological policy demands a forecasting work in order to establish priorities. This demand is due to the importance of this production factor in the contemporaneous society what makes it necessary to evaluate the future importance of investments in the area. In the present article a revision is made of the basic concepts necessary for exercising technological prospecting with emphasis on the energy area. A diffusion model of technological knowledge is presented next and the application of some relevant topics are shown. Other topics to which it seems interesting to apply the methodology are suggested. 

On the road to Sustainable Development

The present article expands the analysis made in previous articles. If the figures are right and the ensuing analysis as well, one can say that a developed country is the one that imports energy, steel, aluminum and ferroalloy (products that are capital- and energy-intensive and less job-intensive) and exports products with larger aggregated value (technology- and manpower-intensive). A methodology for analyzing the jobs generated by accumulated capital by economic sector is suggested. The sectors of energy-intensive use generate few jobs by accumulated capital.

Presentation regarding the Energy Matrix Subject (only in Portuguese):

Sectorial Module of the e&e Energy and Emission Matrix 

The Sectorial Module, in the projection of the Energy and Emissions Matrix carried out by e&e permits, using a GDP scenario, to build the participation in the GDP value of the main economic sectors. The historical evolution in Brazil and in other countries is used to evaluate the future participation. Basic values to be used in the reference scenario for projection are supplied. Based on extrapolation of Equivalent Energy/Product coefficients, the energy demand is projected next. The participation of energy sources is projected based on historical values and on comparisons with other countries. The values are converted to Final Energy and the emission of gases causing the greenhouse effect is calculated using coefficients supplied by the Ministry of Science and Technology (MCT). Projections are for the period 2000/2020. 
In the present issue we present results for:
Residential Sector
 and Transport Sector
In previous e&e issues we have presented results for the reference scenario Reference Macroeconomic and Sectorial Scenarios and for the following sectors
Agriculture and Husbandry Sector 
Commercial Sector and Other Services (except transport).

We offer also Complete Text for download :
Final Report Executive 
Abstract Energy Use and Sectorial Emissions


Complete e&e No 30 Download (in Adobe Acrobat pdf 970k) 
Download of Energy Balance and Associated Emissions BENEMIS 1970/2000

BENEMIS explaining text

Some Relevant Information about Rationing
SIN (National  Interconnected System) Reservoirs
Daily situation of the main reservoirs – OSN(Electrical System National Operator) Values
OSN Page 


Electrical Energy Crisis Management Chamber 

Graphic Edition/Edição Gráfica:
Editoração Eletrônic

Friday, 13 May 2011

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Main Page Technological Prospecting On the road to Sustainable Development Energy and Emission Matrix  Residential Sector Transport Sector